RESEARCH PICK
Michael Wilson
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ7.7FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Michael Wilson or Rico Dowdle this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Wilson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Michael Wilson: 5.3 versus 4.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs DENTHE ALTERNATIVE
Rico Dowdle
RB ยท PITStats & schedule โบ7.3FF projected
โ +1.0 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Michael Wilson
FF7.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.3 FP
Workload6.8 FP
Monte Carlo6.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 8.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.0 targets per game.
Rico Dowdle
FF7.3 FP
Boosted Trees5.2 FP
Workload6.7 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.9 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 7.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 7.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Wilson
Fortified7.7
ESPN7.9
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Michael Wilson faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Rico Dowdle
Fortified7.3
ESPN6.3
Sleeper7.3
FantasyProsโ
Rico Dowdle faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS โ
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your leagueโs rules.
