THE ALTERNATIVE
Michael Mayer
TE · LVStats & schedule ›4.2FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Michael Mayer or Tez Johnson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tez Johnson
Week 7 · Standard
Tez Johnson receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-5% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Tez Johnson
WR · TBStats & schedule ›4.5FF projected
↓ -1.4 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Michael Mayer
FF4.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.3 FP
Workload5.9 FP
Monte Carlo6.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Tez Johnson
FF4.5 FP
Boosted Trees5.7 FP
Workload5.0 FP
Monte Carlo5.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.3 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Michael Mayer
Fortified4.2
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.9
FantasyPros—
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Tez Johnson
Fortified4.5
ESPN5.9
Sleeper3.7
FantasyPros—
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Don’t just win Sunday.
Win what’s next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS ♛
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your league’s rules.
Scoring & lineup notes
More Week 7 decisions
