RESEARCH PICK
Michael Mayer
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ6.0FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Michael Mayer or Tez Johnson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Mayer
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Michael Mayer averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Tez Johnson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Michael Mayer: 8.6 versus 4.1 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs LARTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tez Johnson
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.8FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Michael Mayer
FF6.0 FP
Boosted Trees5.8 FP
Workload8.0 FP
Monte Carlo8.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.6 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Tez Johnson
FF5.8 FP
Boosted Trees7.1 FP
Workload6.2 FP
Monte Carlo6.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Michael Mayer
Fortified6.0
ESPN6.5
Sleeper5.5
FantasyProsโ
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Tez Johnson
Fortified5.8
ESPN7.3
Sleeper4.6
FantasyProsโ
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
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