RESEARCH PICK
LAR D/ST
DST ยท LARStats & schedule โบ4.9FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start LAR D/ST or NO D/ST this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start LAR D/ST
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor LAR D/ST after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at LVTHE ALTERNATIVE
NO D/ST
DST ยท NOStats & schedule โบ4.4FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
vs PITSun 9:30 AM ET
LAR D/ST
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees6.1 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.7 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
NO D/ST
FF4.4 FP
Boosted Trees2.8 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo3.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 4.7 FP.
Projection breakdown
LAR D/ST
Fortified4.9
ESPN5.7
Sleeper5.4
FantasyProsโ
LAR D/ST faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
NO D/ST
Fortified4.4
ESPN3.8
Sleeper5.1
FantasyProsโ
NO D/ST faces PIT in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.7 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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