THE ALTERNATIVE
LAR D/ST
DST ยท LARStats & schedule โบ4.9FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at LVSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start LAR D/ST or MIA D/ST this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start MIA D/ST
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors MIA D/ST: 3.0 versus 2.7 FP per game. MIA D/ST receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -1.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at LVRESEARCH PICK
MIA D/ST
DST ยท MIAStats & schedule โบ5.0FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at NYJSun 1:00 PM ET
LAR D/ST
FF4.9 FP
Boosted Trees6.1 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.7 FP.
- The LV defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
MIA D/ST
FF5.0 FP
Boosted Trees7.6 FP
Workloadโ FP
Monte Carlo5.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
Projection breakdown
LAR D/ST
Fortified4.9
ESPN5.7
Sleeper5.4
FantasyProsโ
LAR D/ST faces LV in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
MIA D/ST
Fortified5.0
ESPN5.3
Sleeper5.4
FantasyProsโ
MIA D/ST faces NYJ in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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