THE ALTERNATIVE
Jonnu Smith
TE · GBStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Jonnu Smith or Tory Horton this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tory Horton
Week 7 · Standard
Tory Horton averaged 2.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Jonnu Smith. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tory Horton: 2.6 versus 0.6 FP per game.
Forecast updated · Standard
at DETRESEARCH PICK
Tory Horton
WR · SEAStats & schedule ›1.5FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Jonnu Smith
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Tory Horton
FF1.5 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload1.6 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.1
Sleeper1.4
FantasyPros—
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Tory Horton
Fortified1.5
ESPN1.3
Sleeper2.2
FantasyPros—
Tory Horton faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
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