RESEARCH PICK
Jonnu Smith
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ2.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Jonnu Smith or Tory Horton this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jonnu Smith
Week 7 ยท PPR
Jonnu Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at DETTHE ALTERNATIVE
Tory Horton
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ2.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Jonnu Smith
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Tory Horton
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload2.5 FP
Monte Carlo2.4 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.3 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jonnu Smith
Fortified2.3
ESPN2.0
Sleeper2.3
FantasyProsโ
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Tory Horton
Fortified2.3
ESPN2.0
Sleeper3.4
FantasyProsโ
Tory Horton faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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