Should I start Jonathan Mingo or Tim Patrick this week? Week 8 Standard (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Tim Patrick

Week 8 · Standard

Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Jonathan Mingo. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tim Patrick: 1.4 versus 0.7 FP per game.

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:19 AM ET · Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jonathan Mingo

WR · DALStats & schedule

0.3FF projected

↓ -0.1 vs ESPN

vs ARI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

RESEARCH PICK

Tim Patrick

WR · NYJStats & schedule

0.5FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

vs LV

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Jonathan Mingo

FF0.3 FP

Boosted Trees0.8 FP

Workload1.1 FP

Monte Carlo1.1 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -2.2–6.1 FP

Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include KaVontae Turpin, Emari Demercado; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.

Tim Patrick

FF0.5 FP

Boosted Trees0.9 FP

Workload1.2 FP

Monte Carlo1.2 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: -2.0–6.0 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Jonathan Mingo

Fortified0.3

ESPN0.4

Sleeper0.2

Jonathan Mingo faces ARI in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.

Tim Patrick

Fortified0.5

ESPN0.4

Sleeper0.8

Tim Patrick faces LV in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points.

Tim Patrick projects for 0.5 points in standard scoring, 0.2 more than Jonathan Mingo. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice. FantasyPros projections are temporarily unavailable; they are excluded from this comparison.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:19 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.