THE ALTERNATIVE
Ashton Dulin
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Ashton Dulin or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor Tim Patrick after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Tim Patrick
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Ashton Dulin
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.9 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Dulin
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.1
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Dulin faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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