
Should I start Jonathan Mingo or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tim Patrick
Week 7 ยท Standard
Tim Patrick averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Jonathan Mingo. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Tim Patrick: 2.0 versus 0.7 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

1.0FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Tim Patrick
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Jonathan Mingo
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees0.8 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The PHI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jonathan Mingo
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.6
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Jonathan Mingo faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Tim Patrick
Fortified0.9
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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