
Should I start Jeremy Ruckert or Sam Roush this week? Week 9 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Sam Roush
Week 9 ยท Standard
Sam Roush has the higher current FF forecast: 1.1 FP versus 1.0 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Sam Roush: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Jeremy Ruckert: 0.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Jeremy Ruckert get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Sam Roush
TE ยท CHIStats & schedule โบJeremy Ruckert
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.0 targets per game.
Sam Roush
- Recent scoring average: 0.0 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Jeremy Ruckert
- FF projection
- 1.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.8 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 1.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jeremy Ruckert faces KC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Sam Roush
- FF projection
- 1.1 FP +0.5vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.6 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.5 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 2.0 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Sam Roush faces TB in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
George KittleTE ยท SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 2
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.1Sleeper 11.7FantasyPros 10.811.6Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE ยท ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 8.28.6Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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