
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Ollie Gordon II this week? Week 10 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Ollie Gordon II
Week 10 ยท Standard
Ollie Gordon II has the higher current FF forecast: 13.2 FP versus 12.8 FP. The 0.4-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Ollie Gordon II: 11.6 FP recent scoring average.
- Ollie Gordon II: 6.25% matchup lift against IND.
Forecast updated ยท Standard



Ollie Gordon II
RB ยท MIAStats & schedule โบJaylen Warren
- Recent scoring average: 13.9 FP.
- Last 3 recorded games: 15.3 carries per game.
Ollie Gordon II
- Recent scoring average: 11.6 FP.
- The IND defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 14.7 carries per game.
Jaylen Warren
- FF projection
- 12.8 FP +0.4vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 12.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 13.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 11.8 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 12.3 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Jaylen Warren faces CIN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 13.9 fantasy points.
Ollie Gordon II
- FF projection
- 13.2 FP -2.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 15.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 12.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 11.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 11.2 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Ollie Gordon II faces IND in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 11.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
RB. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Kenneth Walker IIIRB ยท KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.3Sleeper 17.1FantasyPros 16.418.7Expected FP - 2
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 18.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 18.4FantasyPros 16.318.7Expected FP - 3
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 16.9Sleeper 17.5FantasyPros 16.017.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Ollie Gordon II13.2projected FP
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James Cook III17.3projected FP
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Christian McCaffrey17.3projected FP
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Jonathan Taylor16.5projected FP
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Bijan Robinson15.4projected FP