THE ALTERNATIVE
Jalen Nailor
WR ยท LVStats & schedule โบ2.8FF projected
โ -1.1 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Jalen Nailor or Will Mallory this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Will Mallory
Week 7 ยท Standard
Will Mallory averaged 6.0 targets per game across the last 1 recorded games, compared with 2.3 for Jalen Nailor. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Will Mallory: 2.0 versus 0.5 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Will Mallory
TE ยท INDStats & schedule โบ3.3FF projected
โ -1.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Jalen Nailor
FF2.8 FP
Boosted Trees4.2 FP
Workload2.5 FP
Monte Carlo2.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.3 targets per game.
Will Mallory
FF3.3 FP
Boosted Trees4.8 FP
Workload3.3 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.0 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 1 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jalen Nailor
Fortified2.8
ESPN3.9
Sleeper3.0
FantasyProsโ
Jalen Nailor faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Will Mallory
Fortified3.3
ESPN4.3
Sleeper2.9
FantasyProsโ
Will Mallory faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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