THE ALTERNATIVE
Jahan Dotson
WR ยท ATLStats & schedule โบ5.5FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs SFSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Jahan Dotson or Ted Hurst III this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ted Hurst III
Week 7 ยท Standard
Ted Hurst III receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-5% versus -6.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs SFRESEARCH PICK
Ted Hurst III
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ5.1FF projected
โ -1.8 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Jahan Dotson
FF5.5 FP
Boosted Trees4.7 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.5 FP.
- The SF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Olamide Zaccheaus; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 targets per game.
Ted Hurst III
FF5.1 FP
Boosted Trees6.9 FP
Workload5.0 FP
Monte Carlo5.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jahan Dotson
Fortified5.5
ESPN5.3
Sleeper3.9
FantasyProsโ
Jahan Dotson faces SF in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Ted Hurst III
Fortified5.1
ESPN6.8
Sleeper5.3
FantasyProsโ
Ted Hurst III faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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