THE ALTERNATIVE
Isaiah Williams
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Isaiah Williams or Jonnu Smith this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jonnu Smith
Week 7 ยท Standard
Jonnu Smith receives the better positional matchup adjustment (10% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs MIARESEARCH PICK
Jonnu Smith
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Isaiah Williams
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees0.4 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.2 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Jonnu Smith
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.8 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.6 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Isaiah Williams
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Isaiah Williams faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.1
Sleeper1.4
FantasyProsโ
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS โ
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your leagueโs rules.
