RESEARCH PICK
Isaiah Williams
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.4FF projected
โ +0.7 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Isaiah Williams or Jonnu Smith this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Isaiah Williams
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Isaiah Williams averaged 1.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Jonnu Smith. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Isaiah Williams: 5.7 versus 0.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Jonnu Smith
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ1.9FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Isaiah Williams
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.7 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Jonnu Smith
FF1.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload1.0 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Isaiah Williams
Fortified1.4
ESPN0.7
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Isaiah Williams faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified1.9
ESPN1.6
Sleeper1.9
FantasyProsโ
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
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