
Should I start Harold Fannin Jr. or Jonah Coleman this week? (Standard Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Start Harold Fannin Jr.
Jonah Coleman is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Harold Fannin Jr. has a scheduled game and projects for 6.7 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.
- Harold Fannin Jr.: 10.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Harold Fannin Jr.: 6.25% matchup reduction against HOU.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Jonah Coleman get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Jonah Coleman
RB ยท DENStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Harold Fannin Jr.
- FF projection
- 6.7 FP +0.8vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.9 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.6 FP
- FantasyPros
- 6.3 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.7 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Harold Fannin Jr. faces HOU in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 10.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Jonah Coleman
- FF projection
- 0.0 FP
- Sleeper
- 0.0 FP
- FantasyPros
- 0.0 FP
Recent scoring average: 12.7 fantasy points. BYE
THE MATCHUP, IN CONTEXT
What separates Harold Fannin Jr. and Jonah Coleman?
Use the game-status and availability guidance above before changing your lineup. A saved pregame estimate cannot undo a lineup lock or establish that a player is active.
Sleeper, FantasyPros project Harold Fannin Jr. higher. Agreement across these available estimates is supporting context; the models can share inputs and are not independent confirmations.
Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. has a 6.7 FP forecast in Standard against HOU. His recorded recent scoring average is 10.2 FP, putting this forecast 3.6 points below that average. The position-specific defensive adjustment reduces the FF estimate by 6.25%; it is already included in the projection.
Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman has a 0.0 FP forecast in Standard. His recorded recent scoring average is 12.7 FP, putting this forecast 12.7 points below that average.
Compare the saved forecasts side by side
| Source | Harold Fannin Jr. | Jonah Coleman | Projected edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleeper | 6.6 FP | 0.0 FP | Harold Fannin Jr. +6.6 |
| FantasyPros | 6.3 FP | 0.0 FP | Harold Fannin Jr. +6.3 |
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 20.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 19.4Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 19.720.5Expected FP - 2
Christian McCaffreyRB ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 17.1Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.018.4Expected FP - 3
James Cook IIIRB ยท BUF vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.9Sleeper 16.2FantasyPros 16.518.2Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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