
Should I start Emmett Johnson or Jake Ferguson this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Emmett Johnson
Week 7 ยท Standard
Recent scoring favors Emmett Johnson: 1.7 versus 1.4 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

3.1FF projected
โ -0.7 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Ferguson
TE ยท DALStats & schedule โบ3.4FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
Emmett Johnson
FF3.1 FP
Boosted Trees3.1 FP
Workload4.1 FP
Monte Carlo4.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 3.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 carries per game.
Jake Ferguson
FF3.4 FP
Boosted Trees3.8 FP
Workload2.8 FP
Monte Carlo2.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Emmett Johnson
Fortified3.1
ESPN3.8
Sleeper2.5
FantasyProsโ
Emmett Johnson faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.7 fantasy points.
Jake Ferguson
Fortified3.4
ESPN3.3
Sleeper4.7
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points.
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