THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Moore
WR · PHIStats & schedule ›2.4FF projected
↓ -0.5 vs ESPN
vs DALMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Moore or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Marvin Mims Jr.
Week 7 · Standard
Marvin Mims Jr. averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.7 for Elijah Moore. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Marvin Mims Jr.: 0.4 versus 0.1 FP per game. Marvin Mims Jr. receives the better positional matchup adjustment (7.5% versus 6.25%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs DALRESEARCH PICK
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR · DENStats & schedule ›2.9FF projected
↓ -0.5 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Elijah Moore
FF2.4 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload1.9 FP
Monte Carlo— FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.1 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF2.9 FP
Boosted Trees3.7 FP
Workload3.2 FP
Monte Carlo3.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Elijah Moore
Fortified2.4
ESPN2.9
Sleeper2.7
FantasyPros—
Elijah Moore faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified2.9
ESPN3.4
Sleeper3.1
FantasyPros—
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
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