THE ALTERNATIVE
Darnell Mooney
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ2.8FF projected
โ -0.8 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Darnell Mooney or Marvin Mims Jr. this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Marvin Mims Jr.
Week 7 ยท Standard
Marvin Mims Jr. receives the better positional matchup adjustment (7.5% versus 3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at HOURESEARCH PICK
Marvin Mims Jr.
WR ยท DENStats & schedule โบ2.9FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Darnell Mooney
FF2.8 FP
Boosted Trees3.9 FP
Workload3.1 FP
Monte Carlo3.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.1 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.1 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.7 targets per game.
Marvin Mims Jr.
FF2.9 FP
Boosted Trees3.7 FP
Workload3.2 FP
Monte Carlo3.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.4 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 0.3 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Darnell Mooney
Fortified2.8
ESPN3.6
Sleeper2.0
FantasyProsโ
Darnell Mooney faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Marvin Mims Jr.
Fortified2.9
ESPN3.4
Sleeper3.1
FantasyProsโ
Marvin Mims Jr. faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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