THE ALTERNATIVE
Elijah Higgins
TE · ARIStats & schedule ›2.5FF projected
↑ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start Elijah Higgins or Noah Gray this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Noah Gray
Week 7 · Standard
Noah Gray averaged 3.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 2.7 for Elijah Higgins. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated · Standard
vs DENRESEARCH PICK
Noah Gray
TE · KCStats & schedule ›2.1FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at SEASun 8:20 PM ET
Elijah Higgins
FF2.5 FP
Boosted Trees2.2 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.7 targets per game.
Noah Gray
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.3 FP
Workload3.4 FP
Monte Carlo3.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.5 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The SEA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.3 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Elijah Higgins
Fortified2.5
ESPN2.3
Sleeper1.0
FantasyPros—
Elijah Higgins faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.5 fantasy points.
Noah Gray
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.1
Sleeper2.2
FantasyPros—
Noah Gray faces SEA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
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