
Should I start Demarcus Robinson or Keenan Allen this week? (Standard Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Demarcus Robinson
Week 10 ยท Standard
Demarcus Robinson has the higher current FF forecast: 4.7 FP versus 4.5 FP. The 0.2-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- Demarcus Robinson: 2.2 FP recent scoring average.
- Demarcus Robinson: 2.5% matchup lift against DAL.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Keenan Allen get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Keenan Allen
WR ยท SFStats & schedule โบDemarcus Robinson
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Keenan Allen
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The DAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 2.5%.
- Last 3 recorded games: 9.7 targets per game.
Demarcus Robinson
- FF projection
- 4.7 FP +0.2vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 6.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 5.2 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 0.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Demarcus Robinson faces DAL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Keenan Allen
- FF projection
- 4.5 FP -1.0vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.5 FP
- Sleeper
- 3.7 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.2 FP
Keenan Allen faces DAL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 2.5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
WR. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 16.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.8Sleeper 16.6FantasyPros 15.316.9Expected FP - 2
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 14.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.4Sleeper 12.4FantasyPros 12.514.2Expected FP - 3
Ja'Marr ChaseWR ยท CIN vs PITSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 14.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 13.6FantasyPros 13.714.0Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
YOUR LINEUP ยท A CLOSER LOOK
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Demarcus Robinson4.7projected FP
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Antonio Williams4.7projected FP
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Amon-Ra St. Brown14.2projected FP
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Ja'Marr Chase14.0projected FP
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Tee Higgins13.1projected FP
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CeeDee Lamb13.0projected FP
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Parker Washington11.4projected FP
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Zay Flowers11.1projected FP