THE ALTERNATIVE
Deion Burks
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.4FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deion Burks or Reggie Virgil this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Reggie Virgil
Week 7 ยท Standard
Reggie Virgil averaged 2.5 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Deion Burks. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Reggie Virgil receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-2.5% versus -3.75%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Reggie Virgil
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ0.1FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Deion Burks
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Reggie Virgil
FF0.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload0.9 FP
Monte Carlo0.9 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 2.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 2.5 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Deion Burks
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Reggie Virgil
Fortified0.1
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.2
FantasyProsโ
Reggie Virgil faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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