THE ALTERNATIVE
Deion Burks
WR ยท INDStats & schedule โบ0.6FF projected
โ +0.6 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Deion Burks or Reggie Virgil this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Reggie Virgil
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Reggie Virgil averaged 2.5 targets per game across the last 2 recorded games, compared with 2.0 for Deion Burks. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Reggie Virgil receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-1.25% versus -5%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at MINRESEARCH PICK
Reggie Virgil
WR ยท ARIStats & schedule โบ0.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs DENSun 4:05 PM ET
Deion Burks
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees-1.0 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.3 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Reggie Virgil
FF0.3 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.9 FP.
- The DEN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Carson Beck; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 2.5 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Deion Burks
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.9
FantasyProsโ
Deion Burks faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
Reggie Virgil
Fortified0.3
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Reggie Virgil faces DEN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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