THE ALTERNATIVE
David Moore
WR · CARStats & schedule ›0.4FF projected
↑ +0.4 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start David Moore or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Payne Durham
Week 7 · Standard
Payne Durham receives the better positional matchup adjustment (1.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated · Standard
vs TBRESEARCH PICK
Payne Durham
TE · TBStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↑ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
David Moore
FF0.4 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload0.4 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.4 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
David Moore
Fortified0.4
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.0
FantasyPros—
David Moore faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.4 fantasy points.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
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