
Should I start Darren Waller or Michael Mayer this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Michael Mayer
Week 7 ยท Standard
Michael Mayer averaged 6.7 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 5.3 for Darren Waller. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Michael Mayer: 6.0 versus 1.8 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

3.8FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Michael Mayer
TE ยท LVStats & schedule โบ4.2FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
Darren Waller
FF3.8 FP
Boosted Trees4.1 FP
Workload3.9 FP
Monte Carlo3.8 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Michael Mayer
FF4.2 FP
Boosted Trees4.3 FP
Workload5.9 FP
Monte Carlo6.0 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 6.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 6.0 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Darren Waller
Fortified3.8
ESPN3.6
Sleeper4.9
FantasyProsโ
Darren Waller faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.8 fantasy points.
Michael Mayer
Fortified4.2
ESPN4.5
Sleeper3.9
FantasyProsโ
Michael Mayer faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 6.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
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