
Should I start Colby Parkinson or Darnell Washington this week? Week 10 Standard (2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: Darnell Washington
+0.8 projected edge ยท Standard
Start Darnell Washington over Colby Parkinson for Week 10 Standard: 5.6 projected points versus 4.8.
- Darnell Washington: 7.9 FP recent scoring average.
- Colby Parkinson: 3.0 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท Standard

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Colby Parkinson get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
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Colby Parkinson
TE ยท LARStats & schedule โบWhy this pick?
Darnell Washington
- FF projection
- 5.6 FP +0.3vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 5.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.7 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 5.2 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Darnell Washington faces CIN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 7.9 fantasy points.
Colby Parkinson
- FF projection
- 4.8 FP Evenvs ESPN
- ESPN
- 4.8 FP
- Sleeper
- 4.1 FP
- FantasyPros
- 4.4 FP
- Boosted Trees
- 6.1 FP
- Experimental ยท saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Colby Parkinson faces ARI in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Brock BowersTE ยท LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.3Sleeper 10.7FantasyPros 10.310.7Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE ยท SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.5Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.810.7Expected FP - 3
Isaiah LikelyTE ยท NYG vs WASThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.5Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.39.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
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