RESEARCH PICK
Charlie Jones
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ0.8FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Jones or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 ยท Standard
Charlie Jones averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Charlie Jones: 1.5 versus 0.2 FP per game. Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 1.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at HOUTHE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ0.6FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees1.2 FP
Workload0.5 FP
Monte Carlo0.5 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.2 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.3
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.6
Sleeper0.7
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
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