RESEARCH PICK
Charlie Jones
WR ยท NYGStats & schedule โบ1.3FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Jones or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 ยท PPR
Charlie Jones averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Charlie Jones: 2.2 versus 0.5 FP per game. Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at HOUTHE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ1.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.3 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.8
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Payne Durham
Fortified1.1
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
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