RESEARCH PICK
Charlie Jones
WR · NYGStats & schedule ›0.8FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
at HOUSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Charlie Jones or Mitch Tinsley this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 · Standard
Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated · Standard
at HOUTHE ALTERNATIVE
Mitch Tinsley
WR · CINStats & schedule ›0.6FF projected
↑ +0.6 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF0.8 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.5 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Mitch Tinsley
FF0.6 FP
Boosted Trees-0.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 2.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 2.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Charlie Jones
Fortified0.8
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.3
FantasyPros—
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified0.6
ESPN0.0
Sleeper0.7
FantasyPros—
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.5 fantasy points.
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