
Should I start Charlie Jones or Mitch Tinsley this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Charlie Jones
Week 7 ยท PPR
Charlie Jones receives the better positional matchup adjustment (5% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR

RESEARCH PICK

1.3FF projected
โ -0.5 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Mitch Tinsley
WR ยท CINStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ +1.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Charlie Jones
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.3 FP
Workload1.7 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.2 FP.
- The HOU defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Mitch Tinsley
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees-1.1 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Charlie Jones
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.8
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Charlie Jones faces HOU in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 2.2 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 5%.
Mitch Tinsley
Fortified1.2
ESPN0.0
Sleeper1.1
FantasyProsโ
Mitch Tinsley faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.0 fantasy points.
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