Should I start Brock Wright or John Bates this week? (Standard Week 10 2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

One or both games have started

Treat these as projection comparisons, not a fresh lineup instruction. Check your league’s lineup locks before making changes.

Forecast updated Nov 14, 2026, 4:19 PM ET · Standard

THE ALTERNATIVE

Brock Wright

TE · DETStats & schedule

0.5FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

vs NE

Sun 9:30 AM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

John Bates

TE · WASStats & schedule

0.7FF projected

↑ +0.1 vs ESPN

at NYG

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Brock Wright

FF projection: 0.5 FP +0.2vs ESPN
ESPN: 0.3 FP
Sleeper: 0.9 FP

Brock Wright faces NE in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 2.5%.

John Bates

FF projection: 0.7 FP +0.1vs ESPN
ESPN: 0.6 FP
Sleeper: 0.9 FP

John Bates faces NYG in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 0.0 fantasy points.

Treat these as projection comparisons, not a fresh lineup instruction. Check your league’s lineup locks before making changes. FantasyPros projections are temporarily unavailable; they are excluded from this comparison.

Updated Nov 14, 2026, 4:19 PM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

7.310.2

FF MEAN

1
George KittleTE · SF vs DALSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 10.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 10.2Sleeper 10.2
10.1Expected FP
2
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SEASun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 10.0Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 9.5Sleeper 9.4
10.0Expected FP
3
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs WASThu 8:15 PM ETLocked · Range unavailable
Mean 8.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 7.3Sleeper 7.9
8.6Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.