RESEARCH PICK
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR ยท DETStats & schedule โบ12.4FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs GBSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Jonathan Taylor this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Amon-Ra St. Brown
Week 7 ยท Standard
Amon-Ra St. Brown receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs GBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Jonathan Taylor
RB ยท INDStats & schedule โบ12.8FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
FF12.4 FP
Boosted Trees14.8 FP
Workload10.5 FP
Monte Carlo10.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.2 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.7 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.2 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 10.1 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 10.0 targets per game.
Jonathan Taylor
FF12.8 FP
Boosted Trees11.9 FP
Workload11.8 FP
Monte Carlo11.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 16.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 16.3 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.5 targets and 17.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 18.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Fortified12.4
ESPN12.3
Sleeper13.4
FantasyProsโ
Amon-Ra St. Brown faces GB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.2 fantasy points.
Jonathan Taylor
Fortified12.8
ESPN12.7
Sleeper15.3
FantasyProsโ
Jonathan Taylor faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 16.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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