
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Jonathan Taylor this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ashton Jeanty
Week 7 ยท Standard
Ashton Jeanty receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -10%).
Forecast updated ยท Standard

RESEARCH PICK

13.1FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Jonathan Taylor
RB ยท INDStats & schedule โบ12.8FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Ashton Jeanty
FF13.1 FP
Boosted Trees12.1 FP
Workload12.7 FP
Monte Carlo14.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.4 targets and 14.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 11.7 carries per game.
Jonathan Taylor
FF12.8 FP
Boosted Trees11.9 FP
Workload11.8 FP
Monte Carlo11.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 16.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.2 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 16.3 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.5 targets and 17.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 18.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Jeanty
Fortified13.1
ESPN13.3
Sleeper12.2
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Jeanty faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.7 fantasy points.
Jonathan Taylor
Fortified12.8
ESPN12.7
Sleeper15.3
FantasyProsโ
Jonathan Taylor faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 16.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
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