RESEARCH PICK
AJ Dillon
RB ยท CARStats & schedule โบ2.0FF projected
โ -0.6 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start AJ Dillon or Gunnar Helm this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start AJ Dillon
Week 7 ยท Standard
The available paired forecasts favor AJ Dillon after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Gunnar Helm
TE ยท TENStats & schedule โบ2.4FF projected
โ -0.1 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
AJ Dillon
FF2.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.9 FP
Workload2.4 FP
Monte Carlo2.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.7 FP.
- The TB defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 3.7 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.0 carries per game.
Gunnar Helm
FF2.4 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.1 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.5 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
AJ Dillon
Fortified2.0
ESPN2.6
Sleeper1.9
FantasyProsโ
AJ Dillon faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Gunnar Helm
Fortified2.4
ESPN2.5
Sleeper2.6
FantasyProsโ
Gunnar Helm faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points.
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