Should I start RJ Harvey or Tanner Koziol this week? Week 10 PPR (2026)

THE FF CALL

Start Tanner Koziol

RJ Harvey is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Tanner Koziol has a scheduled game and projects for 1.3 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Tanner Koziol: 2.6 FP recent scoring average.
RJ Harvey: 14.0 FP recent scoring average.

Forecast updated Nov 10, 2026, 1:01 AM ET · PPR

FF PICK

Tanner Koziol

TE · JACStats & schedule

1.3FF projected

at TEN

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

RJ Harvey

RB · DENStats & schedule

0.0FF projected

BYE

Check bye / schedule

Why this pick?

Tanner Koziol

FF projection: 1.3 FP
Sleeper: 1.4 FP
FantasyPros: 1.0 FP

Tanner Koziol faces TEN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points.

RJ Harvey

FF projection: 0.0 FP
Sleeper: 0.0 FP

Recent scoring average: 14.0 fantasy points. BYE

RJ Harvey is on bye in Week 10 and projects for 0.0 FP. Tanner Koziol has a scheduled game and projects for 1.3 FP. Confirm his availability before kickoff.

Updated Nov 10, 2026, 1:01 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

FLEX. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

21.126.0

FF MEAN

1
Jahmyr GibbsRB · DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
Mean 24.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 23.8Sleeper 24.6FantasyPros 24.6
24.4Expected FP
2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 24.2Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 22.5Sleeper 24.5FantasyPros 22.8
24.2Expected FP
3
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · KC vs ATLSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 24.1Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 26.0Sleeper 21.1FantasyPros 21.9
24.1Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.