RESEARCH PICK
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ10.4FF projected
โ +0.4 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or T.J. Hockenson this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Pat Freiermuth
Week 7 ยท PPR
Pat Freiermuth receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at NOTHE ALTERNATIVE
T.J. Hockenson
TE ยท MINStats & schedule โบ10.7FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Pat Freiermuth
FF10.4 FP
Boosted Trees9.4 FP
Workload8.5 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- Recent scoring average: 11.8 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
T.J. Hockenson
FF10.7 FP
Boosted Trees8.0 FP
Workload10.6 FP
Monte Carlo10.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 13.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 2.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 13.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified10.4
ESPN10.0
Sleeper9.9
FantasyPros9.8
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 11.8 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
T.J. Hockenson
Fortified10.7
ESPN10.6
Sleeper10.0
FantasyPros10.0
T.J. Hockenson faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 13.3 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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