RESEARCH PICK
Pat Freiermuth
TE ยท PITStats & schedule โบ8.7FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
at NOSun 9:30 AM ET
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or T.J. Hockenson this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Pat Freiermuth
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Recent scoring favors Pat Freiermuth: 10.1 versus 9.8 FP per game. Pat Freiermuth receives the better positional matchup adjustment (3.75% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
at NOTHE ALTERNATIVE
T.J. Hockenson
TE ยท MINStats & schedule โบ8.3FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs INDSun 1:00 PM ET
Pat Freiermuth
FF8.7 FP
Boosted Trees7.0 FP
Workload6.9 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 10.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 10.1 FP.
- The NO defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.6 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Rico Dowdle; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
T.J. Hockenson
FF8.3 FP
Boosted Trees6.7 FP
Workload8.2 FP
Monte Carlo8.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 5.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Pat Freiermuth
Fortified8.7
ESPN8.3
Sleeper8.0
FantasyProsโ
Pat Freiermuth faces NO in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 10.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 3.75%.
T.J. Hockenson
Fortified8.3
ESPN8.1
Sleeper7.9
FantasyProsโ
T.J. Hockenson faces IND in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.8 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Donโt just win Sunday.
Win whatโs next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS โ
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your leagueโs rules.
