THE ALTERNATIVE
Mitchell Evans
TE ยท CARStats & schedule โบ1.7FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Mitchell Evans or Velus Jones Jr. this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Velus Jones Jr.
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Velus Jones Jr.: 1.0 versus 0.9 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs TBRESEARCH PICK
Velus Jones Jr.
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ2.2FF projected
โ -1.0 vs ESPN
vs KCSun 8:20 PM ET
Mitchell Evans
FF1.7 FP
Boosted Trees2.7 FP
Workload2.1 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 targets per game.
Velus Jones Jr.
FF2.2 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Mitchell Evans
Fortified1.7
ESPN1.7
Sleeper1.7
FantasyProsโ
Mitchell Evans faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.9 fantasy points.
Velus Jones Jr.
Fortified2.2
ESPN3.1
Sleeper1.8
FantasyProsโ
Velus Jones Jr. faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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