
Should I start Ashton Dulin or Velus Jones Jr. this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Velus Jones Jr.
Week 7 ยท PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Velus Jones Jr. after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

2.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Velus Jones Jr.
WR ยท SEAStats & schedule โบ2.2FF projected
โ -1.0 vs ESPN
Sun 8:20 PM ET
Ashton Dulin
FF2.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.9 FP
Workload2.6 FP
Monte Carlo2.6 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 5.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 5.9 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 0.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.5 targets per game.
Velus Jones Jr.
FF2.2 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload2.2 FP
Monte Carlo2.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The KC defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.5 targets and 2.5 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Drew Lock; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Ashton Dulin
Fortified2.1
ESPN2.0
Sleeper0.4
FantasyProsโ
Ashton Dulin faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 5.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Velus Jones Jr.
Fortified2.2
ESPN3.1
Sleeper1.8
FantasyProsโ
Velus Jones Jr. faces KC in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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