
Should I start KeAndre Lambert-Smith or Tanner Koziol this week? (PPR Week 10 2026)
THE FF CALL
Slight lean: KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Week 10 ยท PPR
KeAndre Lambert-Smith has the higher current FF forecast: 1.4 FP versus 1.3 FP. The 0.1-point gap is small; saved experimental forecasts provide context, not a separate override.
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 3.0 FP recent scoring average.
- Tanner Koziol: 2.6 FP recent scoring average.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

FORTIFIED FANTASY ยท TRADE DEADLINE
Before you make the deal.
What could Tanner Koziol get you? Compare the bye weeks, the replacement options, and the playoff payoff.
Browse deadline trades โ

Tanner Koziol
TE ยท JACStats & schedule โบKeAndre Lambert-Smith
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- Last 2 recorded games: 4.5 targets per game.
Tanner Koziol
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
- FF projection
- 1.4 FP +1.0vs ESPN
- ESPN
- 0.4 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.8 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.3 FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith faces BAL in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Tanner Koziol
- FF projection
- 1.3 FP
- Sleeper
- 1.4 FP
- FantasyPros
- 1.2 FP
Tanner Koziol faces TEN in Week 10. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points.
Your next decision
Scoring & lineup notes
FORTIFIED RANKINGS ยท
FLEX. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsRB ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 23.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 23.9Sleeper 24.4FantasyPros 24.323.9Expected FP - 2
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR ยท SEA vs LVSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 23.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 22.3Sleeper 22.8FantasyPros 22.023.5Expected FP - 3
Amon-Ra St. BrownWR ยท DET vs NESun 9:30 AM ETCheck availability ยท Range unavailableMean 22.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 20.3Sleeper 19.2FantasyPros 20.122.8Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10โP90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
More Week 10 decisions
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Chris Bell2.9projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Isaiah Williams1.5projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Devontez Walker1.6projected FP
KeAndre Lambert-Smith1.4projected FP
Bryce Lance1.6projected FP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba23.5projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown22.8projected FP
Amon-Ra St. Brown22.8projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.2projected FP
Ja'Marr Chase21.2projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.0projected FP
CeeDee Lamb20.0projected FP
Tee Higgins19.2projected FP
Tee Higgins19.2projected FP
Justin Jefferson18.0projected FP
Justin Jefferson18.0projected FP
Malik Nabers17.5projected FP