THE ALTERNATIVE
Jonnu Smith
TE · GBStats & schedule ›2.3FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Jonnu Smith or Seth McGowan this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Seth McGowan
Week 7 · PPR
Recent scoring favors Seth McGowan: 3.5 versus 1.0 FP per game.
Forecast updated · PPR
at DETRESEARCH PICK
Seth McGowan
RB · INDStats & schedule ›2.5FF projected
↓ -0.2 vs ESPN
at MINSun 1:00 PM ET
Jonnu Smith
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Seth McGowan
FF2.5 FP
Boosted Trees2.2 FP
Workload3.2 FP
Monte Carlo3.2 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The MIN defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 4.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.0 carries per game.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified2.3
ESPN2.0
Sleeper2.3
FantasyPros—
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
Seth McGowan
Fortified2.5
ESPN2.7
Sleeper3.0
FantasyPros—
Seth McGowan faces MIN in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 10%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
SEE THE WHOLE SEASON
Don’t just win Sunday.
Win what’s next.
Your roster. Every week.
A plan for the playoffs.
WEEK 7PLAYOFFS ♛
Build my Game Plan Your team. Your league’s rules.
Scoring & lineup notes
More Week 7 decisions
