RESEARCH PICK
Jelani Woods
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.2FF projected
โ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Jelani Woods or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jelani Woods
Week 7 ยท PPR
Jelani Woods averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Jelani Woods: 1.3 versus 0.5 FP per game. Jelani Woods receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus 0%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ1.1FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Jelani Woods
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees2.4 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.3 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees2.0 FP
Workload0.8 FP
Monte Carlo0.8 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jelani Woods
Fortified1.2
ESPN1.6
Sleeper0.6
FantasyProsโ
Jelani Woods faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
Payne Durham
Fortified1.1
ESPN1.0
Sleeper1.2
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
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