RESEARCH PICK
Jelani Woods
TE ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.0FF projected
โ -0.3 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Jelani Woods or Payne Durham this week? Week 7 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jelani Woods
Week 7 ยท Half-PPR
Jelani Woods averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Payne Durham. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points. Recent scoring favors Jelani Woods: 1.0 versus 0.3 FP per game. Jelani Woods receives the better positional matchup adjustment (7.5% versus 1.25%).
Forecast updated ยท Half-PPR
vs MIATHE ALTERNATIVE
Payne Durham
TE ยท TBStats & schedule โบ0.9FF projected
โ +0.1 vs ESPN
at CARSun 1:00 PM ET
Jelani Woods
FF1.0 FP
Boosted Trees1.5 FP
Workload1.2 FP
Monte Carlo1.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Payne Durham
FF0.9 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload0.7 FP
Monte Carlo0.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 0.3 FP.
- The CAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Jelani Woods
Fortified1.0
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.5
FantasyProsโ
Jelani Woods faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.
Payne Durham
Fortified0.9
ESPN0.8
Sleeper1.0
FantasyProsโ
Payne Durham faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 1.25%.
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