THE ALTERNATIVE
Jake Ferguson
TE ยท DALStats & schedule โบ6.4FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Samaje Perine this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Samaje Perine
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors Samaje Perine: 8.3 versus 4.1 FP per game.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at PHIRESEARCH PICK
Samaje Perine
RB ยท CINStats & schedule โบ6.0FF projected
โ -0.2 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Jake Ferguson
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carlo5.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Samaje Perine
FF6.0 FP
Boosted Trees5.7 FP
Workload6.7 FP
Monte Carlo6.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 8.3 FP.
- The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.9 targets and 6.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 6.7 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
Jake Ferguson
Fortified6.4
ESPN5.9
Sleeper7.8
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points.
Samaje Perine
Fortified6.0
ESPN6.2
Sleeper5.8
FantasyProsโ
Samaje Perine faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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