RESEARCH PICK
Darren Waller
TE ยท CARStats & schedule โบ6.0FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
vs TBSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Darren Waller or Jake Ferguson this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Darren Waller
Week 7 ยท PPR
Darren Waller averaged 5.3 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 4.3 for Jake Ferguson. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
vs TBTHE ALTERNATIVE
Jake Ferguson
TE ยท DALStats & schedule โบ6.4FF projected
โ +0.5 vs ESPN
at PHIMon 8:15 PM ET
Darren Waller
FF6.0 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload6.4 FP
Monte Carlo6.3 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 3.3 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.3 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 5.3 targets per game.
Jake Ferguson
FF6.4 FP
Boosted Trees6.3 FP
Workload5.3 FP
Monte Carlo5.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.1 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 3.6 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 4.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Darren Waller
Fortified6.0
ESPN5.8
Sleeper7.6
FantasyProsโ
Darren Waller faces TB in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.3 fantasy points.
Jake Ferguson
Fortified6.4
ESPN5.9
Sleeper7.8
FantasyProsโ
Jake Ferguson faces PHI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.1 fantasy points.
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