RESEARCH PICK
J.K. Dobbins
RB ยท DENStats & schedule โบ11.6FF projected
โ -1.9 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start J.K. Dobbins or Tony Pollard this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start J.K. Dobbins
Week 7 ยท PPR
Recent scoring favors J.K. Dobbins: 12.1 versus 8.6 FP per game. J.K. Dobbins receives the better positional matchup adjustment (-1.25% versus -5%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at ARITHE ALTERNATIVE
Tony Pollard
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบ11.5FF projected
โ -1.8 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
J.K. Dobbins
FF11.6 FP
Boosted Trees12.2 FP
Workload12.4 FP
Monte Carlo12.7 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 12.1 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 12.1 FP.
- The ARI defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 1.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 15.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 15.3 carries per game.
Tony Pollard
FF11.5 FP
Boosted Trees11.6 FP
Workload12.8 FP
Monte Carlo12.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 8.6 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 8.6 FP.
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 5%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.0 targets and 20.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 16.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
J.K. Dobbins
Fortified11.6
ESPN13.5
Sleeper10.0
FantasyPros11.5
J.K. Dobbins faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 12.1 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.
Tony Pollard
Fortified11.5
ESPN13.4
Sleeper11.9
FantasyPros11.2
Tony Pollard faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 8.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 5%.
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