THE ALTERNATIVE
J.K. Dobbins
RB ยท DENStats & schedule โบ10.4FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
at ARISun 4:05 PM ET
Should I start J.K. Dobbins or Tony Pollard this week? Week 7 Standard (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tony Pollard
Week 7 ยท Standard
Tony Pollard averaged 16.3 carries per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 15.3 for J.K. Dobbins. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท Standard
at ARIRESEARCH PICK
Tony Pollard
RB ยท TENStats & schedule โบ10.3FF projected
โ -1.5 vs ESPN
vs CLESun 1:00 PM ET
J.K. Dobbins
FF10.4 FP
Boosted Trees10.8 FP
Workload10.7 FP
Monte Carlo10.9 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 9.7 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.6 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 9.7 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.2 targets and 15.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Jonah Coleman; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 15.3 carries per game.
Tony Pollard
FF10.3 FP
Boosted Trees10.1 FP
Workload11.4 FP
Monte Carlo11.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 7.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 7.9 FP.
- The CLE defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 2.0 targets and 20.1 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Calvin Ridley, Tyjae Spears; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 16.3 carries per game.
Projection breakdown
J.K. Dobbins
Fortified10.4
ESPN12.0
Sleeper8.4
FantasyProsโ
J.K. Dobbins faces ARI in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 9.7 fantasy points.
Tony Pollard
Fortified10.3
ESPN11.8
Sleeper9.9
FantasyProsโ
Tony Pollard faces CLE in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 7.9 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 6.25%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
Your next decision
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