Should I start Isaiah Likely or Mark Andrews this week? Week 9 PPR (2026)

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

One or both games have started

Treat these as projection comparisons, not a fresh lineup instruction. Check your league’s lineup locks before making changes.

Forecast updated Nov 7, 2026, 10:50 AM ET · PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYGStats & schedule

12.0FF projected

↓ -0.7 vs ESPN

at PHI

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Mark Andrews

TE · BALStats & schedule

6.3FF projected

↑ +0.1 vs ESPN

vs JAC

Thu 8:15 PM ET

Why this pick?

Isaiah Likely

FF projection: 12.0 FP -0.7vs ESPN
ESPN: 12.7 FP
Sleeper: 11.5 FP
FantasyPros: 12.4 FP

Isaiah Likely faces PHI in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 13.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 7.5%.

Mark Andrews

FF projection: 6.3 FP Evenvs ESPN
ESPN: 6.3 FP
Sleeper: 7.3 FP
FantasyPros: 7.1 FP

Mark Andrews faces JAC in Week 9. Recent scoring average: 3.7 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 1.25%.

Treat these as projection comparisons, not a fresh lineup instruction. Check your league’s lineup locks before making changes.

Updated Nov 7, 2026, 10:50 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

Your next decision

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · Rankings position

TE. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros

3 shown · common FP scale

14.318.6

FF MEAN

1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 18.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.6FantasyPros 17.5
18.6Expected FP
2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 17.6Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 16.2Sleeper 15.7FantasyPros 16.4
17.6Expected FP
3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
Mean 15.4Range unavailable
Median unavailable
ESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.6
15.4Expected FP

How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.