THE ALTERNATIVE
Ian Thomas
TE · LVStats & schedule ›1.4FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
vs LARSun 4:25 PM ET
Should I start Ian Thomas or Jelani Woods this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Jelani Woods
Week 7 · PPR
Jelani Woods receives the better positional matchup adjustment (6.25% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated · PPR
vs LARRESEARCH PICK
Jelani Woods
TE · NYJStats & schedule ›1.2FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs MIASun 1:00 PM ET
Ian Thomas
FF1.4 FP
Boosted Trees1.1 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carlo1.5 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.4 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.9 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.4 FP.
- The LAR defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Mike Washington Jr.; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Jelani Woods
FF1.2 FP
Boosted Trees2.4 FP
Workload1.5 FP
Monte Carlo1.6 FP
- Recent scoring average: 1.3 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 6.25%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.8 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Ian Thomas
Fortified1.4
ESPN1.2
Sleeper0.6
FantasyPros—
Ian Thomas faces LAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.4 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Jelani Woods
Fortified1.2
ESPN1.6
Sleeper0.6
FantasyPros—
Jelani Woods faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 6.25%.
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